Length of the 2000 Florida recount crisis:
Five weeks.
Time from now until the Pennsylvania primary:
Seven weeks.
It’s going to be a long spring.
I wonder if the Pennsylvania Democratic Party can somehow move up its primary?
Length of the 2000 Florida recount crisis:
Five weeks.
Time from now until the Pennsylvania primary:
Seven weeks.
It’s going to be a long spring.
I wonder if the Pennsylvania Democratic Party can somehow move up its primary?
Have I ever mentioned that I have a crush on MSNBC’s Chuck Todd?
If it’s Tuesday, it must be primary day.
And so, as on seemingly countless Tuesday nights for the past two months, I’m going to be sitting in chorus rehearsal tonight anxiously wondering about the results, asking Matt to look them up on his Trio, then going home afterwards and switching on the TV before I do anything else.
By the way, if you’re wondering why so many states vote on Tuesdays, here’s why.
And now for a personal note regarding tomorrow’s primaries.
I’m really nervous. I know, it’s silly because it’s just politics. But I am.
I’ve said or linked to a few snarky things about Hillary Clinton on here lately. If she wins Texas and Ohio and ultimately wins the nomination, then that’s going to mean that my team lost. Or, if Obama wins the nomination and turns out to be a weak general election candidate, or if he wins the election and turns out to be a horrible president, I’ll look like a tool.
I don’t think any of my pro-Clinton readers care about this, but I kinda do.
So let me just state that there are some things I like about Hillary. And there are some things about Obama that give me pause. I deliberated agonizingly about whom to vote for in the New York primary, even though I ultimately voted for Obama with enthusiasm.
If Hillary Clinton wins Ohio and Texas tomorrow, I’ll be disappointed. And then, if she gains momentum and becomes the nominee, I’ll try to put aside the things I hate about her and remind myself of the things I like about her. And I’ll definitely vote for her in November. Probably enthusiastically. I mean, she’s a Democrat and therefore I love most of her policies. I deplore some of her campaign tactics right now, but if she gets the nomination and uses those same tactics to propel her to a win — well, I still might not like the means, but I’ll like the ends.
After all, as one candidate has pointed out, we’re all on the same team.
Someone needs to explain to me why the fact that Hillary Clinton has won several big states in the Democratic primaries/caucuses, while Obama has won mostly smaller states, means anything. I’ve seen Clinton supporters make this argument several times and I don’t understand what it’s supposed to mean. It’s mentioned here as well.
First of all, it doesn’t matter which states you win; it matters how many delegates you win. If you can win X number of delegates by winning a few big states or lots of smaller states, it’s the same thing.
Are the Clinton people trying to say that her wins in big states will make her a more viable candidate than Obama in the general election? That’s as silly as saying that Obama’s wins in traditionally red states will make him more likely to win those red states in November.
Um, these are all contests among Democrats (and some independents). There are no Republicans voting in them.
I guess Clinton could argue that her California win makes her more viable in that state in November. California had an open Democratic primary but a closed Republican primary, so independents could vote only in the Democratic primary. Most independents who voted in the Democratic primary chose Obama, but Clinton still beat him. This could mean that not enough California independents were enthusiastic enough about Obama to vote for him, and that they’d be more likely to vote for McCain instead of Obama in November. But it really means nothing, because I don’t see how Clinton could argue that she’d be better than Obama at attracting independents from McCain.
So winning a few big states as opposed to several small states means nothing. Right?
Am I missing something?
Tomorrow the California Supreme Court hears arguments in the state’s same-sex marriage equality case. You’ll be able to watch the oral arguments online here at 9:00 a.m. California time (12 noon East Coast), or if you live in California you can find them on public access TV here. And you can read all the briefs here.
Antigay hypocrites in the news:
According to the Times, antigay lawyer Robert Skolrood has died.
He fought against gay rights by helping to word an initiative on the Colorado ballot in 1992 that would have barred any special protection for homosexuals. The amendment to the state’s constitution passed but was struck down by the United States Supreme Court four years later.
Mr. Skolrood helped to draft an amendment to the Cincinnati City Charter to similarly deprive homosexuals of specific legal protections; voters approved the measure in 1993.
A federal appeals court upheld the result, and the United States Supreme Court in 1998 refused to hear an appeal.
And of course,
In 2002, when he was semi-retired, Mr. Skolrood was arrested on charges of uttering obscenities and making sexual advances toward a male undercover police officer at an overlook on the Blue Ridge Parkway. He denied all the charges at a trial before a federal magistrate in Roanoke, Va., but he pleaded no contest to disorderly conduct, a misdemeanor, and paid a $125 fine.
Meanwhile, it turns out that the Texas district attorney who argued to uphold the state’s sodomy laws in Lawrence v. Texas has engaged in extra-marital relations. Because it doesn’t count if you’re straight.
Weird. While exploring the New York Times archives, I found this 1993 piece by historian Michael Beschloss that attempts to predict the future from the fictional perspective of 2008. It was published three days before George H.W. Bush left the White House and attempts to examine his legacy. In the process, it shows us a creepy parallel universe that echoes across a dimensional rift…
Some excerpts:
[George Bush’s] defeat by Bill Clinton in 1992 ushered in a 16-year cycle of progressive activism. During an era dominated by two energetic Presidents — Bill Clinton and his successor, Al Gore — the stature of a right-of-center chief executive like George Bush, who recoiled from using the full powers of the Presidency, was bound to suffer.
After his term ended, Republican leaders instantly disowned him as an unwanted reminder of their flirtation with ideological moderation. At their 1996 convention in Salt Lake City, when Representative Robert Dornan of California was nominated for President, Mr. Bush was not invited onto the podium. Dornan and his running mate, Representative Newt Gingrich, rushed to the retirement homes of former Presidents Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan for endorsements but eschewed all invitations to be photographed with Mr. Bush.
After Noriega’s release from prison in 1998 and Saddam’s ouster by military coup in 1999, the two men held a joint news conference in Asuncion, Paraguay, during which they played tapes of private conversations with Mr. Bush. According to the tapes, then-Vice President Bush told General Noriega in 1985: “We love your commitment to democracy. Keep it up!” During a 1990 telephone call to Mr. Hussein, then-President Bush praised Iraq as “an island of stability in a troubled region.”
In 2002, for the first time in a half-century, Republicans seized control of both houses of Congress and quickly voted to strip the funds from numerous White House-sponsored programs, such as Clinton’s National Service Corps and Gore’s Global Warming Initiative (G.W.I.). This legislative drive drew the support of perennial Presidential candidate Ross Perot and nearly all of the other 38 billionaires who declared their candidacies for the White House in 2004.
President Gore appointed [Bush] to undertake special diplomatic missions to post-Communist Cuba, the semi-autonomous republic of Northern Moscow and to Monaco, where peace talks with France inspired by Mr. Bush were entering their 16th year.
When his Hispanic-American grandson, George P. Bush, was elected to the United States Senate from Florida in 2006 on an anti-secessionist ticket, Mr. Bush was guest of honor at the South Miami victory rally.
What a [parallel] world.
Hillary Clinton to appear on “The Daily Show” on Monday night.
(Matt wondered aloud what guest she’s bumping. He said probably some unknown history professor with a new book. I said no, it was probably Nita Lowey.)
(Sorry, too mean?)
Bloomberg.com: “Gay Clinton Backers Defect to Obama.”
I don’t like headlines that make generalizations like this, but it’s interesting reading.
Do the gays need a Martin Luther King?
I’ve wondered about this for a long time. It seems to me that there are so many lazy gays out there who couldn’t give a rat’s ass about gay rights.
Meanwhile, the major gay organizations, as Chris Crain points out:
are so focused inside the Beltway that gay-friendly ignorance is permitted to persist. When was the last time you saw one of our national groups mount an effective public demontration of the rights denied gay and lesbian Americans? The Millennium March on Washington, perhaps? That was April 2000…
I’ve been reading Parting the Waters, the first part of Taylor Branch’s history of the black civil rights movement. Where is our Birmingham? Where are the gay people willing to go to jail for what they believe?
Granted, it’s hard to see what laws we could break that could force us into jail. Showing up at the county clerk’s office for a marriage license doesn’t get you thrown in jail. Sit-ins at lunch counters in the ’60s could get you thrown in jail, because the segregation laws barred black people’s actual physical presence from lunch counters and libraries and so forth. There are no laws that bar gay people’s physical presence anywhere.
Without the threat of jail and violence, what can we do to further our rights?
The point of the nonviolence movement of Martin Luther King and his allies, transmitted to them through Gandhi, was to show that justice and love can prevail over injustice and hate. By practicing nonviolence, they let the segregationists become the aggressors and thereby created sympathy.
What can we do today?
One difference between blacks in the ’60s and gays today is that the two groups have had to fight against different perceptions. Blacks Americans had to fight against the 300-year-old stereotype that they were stupid and shiftless and scary. Gay Americans today have to fight against the stereotype that we’re rich and privileged dilettantes who don’t have to deal with the same problems that “real, hard-working Americans” face. We also have to fight against the stereotype that we’re all white.
The public doesn’t see that gay couples aren’t all rich enough to hire lawyers to attain the same rights that straight couples get for free. The public doesn’t see that gay people suffer from employment discrimination. That gay Americans can watch their non-American life partners get deported.
The movements are not the same. Even into the 1960s, black Americans were denied the right to register to vote — they weren’t even allowed to participate in the political process. At least we don’t have to face that problem.
But we do have to face other misperceptions. As an uninformed straight person wrote to me in an email a few months ago:
As a group, homosexuals are portrayed in a significantly more positive light in the media than any other group in our culture. Homosexuals have the highest degree of societal acceptance of any community in the nation.
We’re like the Jews, apparently. While blacks were hated because they were powerless, Jews used to be hated because we appeared to have too much power.
We’re so entertaining, we gay people, aren’t we? How nice to have a cool gay friend, as long as he remembers that he’s just a court jester and doesn’t deserve equal rights.
Will and Grace did so much to hurt us. Rich, white, privileged Will Truman and his funny minstrel friend Jack. We never saw any gay bashings or any gay couples striving for the right to marriage on that show. I don’t mean to criticize it too much; it was a sitcom, and most sitcoms aren’t meant to be anything more than stupid trifles. (All in the Family notwithstanding. Maybe we actually need a gay Norman Lear.)
But last week on The View, the women were discussing a children’s book, And Tango Makes Three, based on a true story about two male penguins who cared for a baby penguin in a zoo because it had no mother. Sherri Shepherd stated that she didn’t want to teach her young son about such things “right now.” As usual, she didn’t know how to articulate it beyond saying that this was her child and she didn’t want him to know about such things “right now.”
Less than a week later, Mario Cantone showed up as one of the guests. As usual, he did his queeny little minstrel show. (Nothing against Mario Cantone; he’s a funny guy.) Sherri Shepherd enjoyed it like everyone else, laughing along with the other women. I would have loved for Mario at some point to have turned to Sherri and asked her, out of the blue, why she wants to “protect” her child from learning about non-traditional families and, by extension, gay rights. I would have loved to see her sputter something nonsensical in response.
They love laughing at us as long as we don’t, you know, make them uncomfortable by fighting for our rights.
I have to run. More later.
Happy Leap Day.
I know it’s 2008, but I love how February 29, 2000, was an exception to an exception to an exception.
Rule: February has 28 days.
Except for years divisible by four, when February has 29 days.
Except for years divisible by 100, when February has 28 days.
Except for years divisible by 400, when February has 29 days.
I would have blogged about this on February 29, 2000, but I didn’t have a blog then.
Or know what a blog was.
Unlike some people.
The right-wing Washington Times is dropping its loathsome practice of putting the words gay marriage in scare quotes. This is part of a number of changes being made under new leadership.
One person responded:
Now just drop “gay marriage” entirely and refer to the subject accurately as marriage equality or the freedom to marry, and you’ll have made it all the way up to 2004.
I’m starting to really want this nominating contest to end already.
Next Tuesday probably won’t be decisive. Obama might win Texas and Clinton might win Ohio. If Clinton wins both, the race continues. Even if Obama wins both (and they split Rhode Island and Vermont), Clinton has said she’s looking to Pennsylvania on April 22.
April 22! That’s seven weeks from now. Fifty-four days from today. How much time is that, you ask? Well, 54 days ago was January 5, right between the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary. Think of how long ago that was and how much has happened since then and then realize that that’s the amount of time between now and the Pennsylvania primary. I don’t know if I can bear our party’s tearing itself apart for two more months.
Mike voiced similar thoughts eons two months ago, and I disagreed with him then. Now I’m starting to see his point. I guess it’s a subjective question of how much more of this I can personally take.
It’s ironic. Everyone complained that by front-loading the primaries, the nominating race was going to be over too soon and we were going to have to suffer through a nine-month general election campaign. Instead, the race is taking forever.
The 2004 nomination battle started later and ended earlier than this one. On January 19, 2004, John Kerry won the Iowa caucuses. On March 2, 2004, Super Tuesday, Kerry crushed his last remaining rival, John Edwards, who then decided to drop out. Time elapsed: 43 days.
This year, the Iowa caucuses were on January 3. It’s 56 days later and we’re still in the thick of it.
The day after Super Tuesday 2004, the New York Times wrote:
With yesterday’s balloting, 29 states and the District of Columbia have now passed judgment on the Democratic field. And the party’s leaders appear to have accomplished precisely what they were looking for in setting up this calendar: A near-consensus candidate, chosen early and with minimal bloodshed.
How nice.
On the other hand, after we nominated Kerry we got buyer’s remorse. At least this year we’ve been able to vet the candidates more. It’s good that Obama didn’t cruise to the nomination after Iowa. Whichever candidate ultimately wins the nomination will have been tested and vetted and will have learned greatly from the experience. Ultimately, this fight will make our nominee a better candidate.
Eh, who am I kidding. I have no idea what it all means. It’s just agita-inducing.
Russert: Senator Obama, you’re black. Louis Farrakhan is black. Please repeat after me: All the blacks hate all the Jews.
Obama: No, Tim.
Russert: Please?
Obama: No, Tim.
Russert: Don’t you agree that this will be much better television if I put the words “Judaism” and “gutter religion” in the same sentence?
Obama: Hard to say, Tim.
Russert: Louis Farrakhan, Moammar Qaddafi and your pastor walk into a bar. Doesn’t that prove that you hate all the Jews?
Obama: Actually Tim, I like Jewish people.
Clinton: I just think it’s very important to add that I like them more.
[via TPM]
[6/13/08 update: Tim Russert passed away today. I was mad at him 3 1/2 months ago when I wrote this entry, and the title of this post is overly harsh. See my tribute to him.]
Tim Russert disgusted me with his Farrakhan crap in last night’s debate. He’s so obsessed with playing “gotcha,” creating controversy, trying to trip candidates up.
First he asks Obama about Louis Farrakhan.
MR. RUSSERT: … On Sunday, the headline in your hometown paper, Chicago Tribune: “Louis Farrakhan Backs Obama for President at Nation of Islam Convention in Chicago.” Do you accept the support of Louis Farrakhan?
SEN. OBAMA: You know, I have been very clear in my denunciation of Minister Farrakhan’s anti-Semitic comments. I think that they are unacceptable and reprehensible. I did not solicit this support. He expressed pride in an African-American who seems to be bringing the country together. I obviously can’t censor him, but it is not support that I sought. And we’re not doing anything, I assure you, formally or informally with Minister Farrakhan.
MR. RUSSERT: Do you reject his support?
SEN. OBAMA: Well, Tim, you know, I can’t say to somebody that he can’t say that he thinks I’m a good guy. (Laughter.) You know, I — you know, I — I have been very clear in my denunciations of him and his past statements, and I think that indicates to the American people what my stance is on those comments.
Okay. Asked and answered. Next topic, right?
Wrong. Because even though Obama has answered the question, Russert seems not to care. Because getting Obama’s answer isn’t the point. Tim’s question is apparently the point. He wants to create “a story.”
MR. RUSSERT: The problem some voters may have is, as you know, Reverend Farrakhan called Judaism “gutter religion.”
“Some voters.” Did you talk to any? “May have” a problem. May? Has Russert talked to actual voters who have raised this concern? Or is he just trying to be controversial? I actually yelled “fuck you” at the TV at this point.
But Obama cuts him off.
OBAMA: Tim, I think — I am very familiar with his record, as are the American people. That’s why I have consistently denounced it.
This is not something new. This is something that — I live in Chicago. He lives in Chicago. I’ve been very clear, in terms of me believing that what he has said is reprehensible and inappropriate. And I have consistently distanced myself from him.
Good. We’re done, right?
Sigh:
RUSSERT: The title of one of your books, “Audacity of Hope,” you acknowledge you got from a sermon from Reverend Jeremiah Wright, the head of the Trinity United Church. He said that Louis Farrakhan “epitomizes greatness.”
He said that he went to Libya in 1984 with Louis Farrakhan to visit with Moammar Gadhafi and that, when your political opponents found out about that, quote, “your Jewish support would dry up quicker than a snowball in Hell.”
What do you do to assure Jewish-Americans that, whether it’s Farrakhan’s support or the activities of Reverend Jeremiah Wright, your pastor, you are consistent with issues regarding Israel and not in any way suggesting that Farrakhan epitomizes greatness?
Who said Obama had to “assure Jewish-Americans” of anything? He has nothing to assure us of. And why is it “assure Jewish-Americans” instead of “assure all Americans”? Are Jews the only people who care about anti-Semitism? Are blacks the only people who care about racial discrimination? No, but for Russert, it’s all about pie charts and voter sub-groups.
And what does Israel have to do with any of this? Since when are all Jews of one opinion about Israel? (Or about anything?) Israelis themselves are divided over the direction of their country, as the citizens of any good democracy would be. Why wouldn’t American Jews be divided as well?
What was the point of Tim’s question? Does he have any evidence that Obama is anti-Semitic? No. So shut the fuck up.
I think I see Russert’s deal. For him, it’s all just a game. He doesn’t care about the substance of the candidates’ responses. He cares only about how they respond. He’s not interested in whether candidates can fix the nation’s problems; he only wants to know whether they’re good at playing the game. The game that he himself is a part of.
Josh Marshall says, “As a Jew and perhaps more importantly simply as a sentient being I found it disgusting.”
I agree.
Here’s the video.
Here’s an assessment of the presidential candidates’ logos. Politics aside, I think Obama’s logo is pretty brilliant.
Interesting tidbit: the typeface of McCain’s logo is the same as that used on the Vietnam Memorial.
Caught up in a post-Oscar reverie, I went searching on YouTube for some Chuck Workman films. Chuck Workman has put together some wonderful movie montages over the years. Here are two. I love this kind of stuff.
(1) 100 Years at the Movies (1994).
Here’s a list of all the clips featured in it.
(2) Precious Images (1986). This won the Oscar for Best Short Film.
Here’s a list of all clips featured in it (in chronological order, not in the order in which they appear in the film).
Matt and I have to find a new apartment by mid-May and it’s causing me agita.
Neither of us has actually had to look for an apartment in Manhattan before, so we’re both heading into the unknown here.
Should we use a broker? We were discussing this last night.
Pros: it would save us the stress of having to use Craigslist and compete with tons of other people for the same apartments.
Cons: it would be pricey and not necessarily more helpful. When I lived in Jersey City, I found my first apartment through a broker and my second apartment on my own through an ad. My second apartment was better, quieter, and cheaper and I had a saner landlord.
But the idea of using, say, Craigslist, and having to compete with other people for an apartment, really drives me nuts.
What should we do?
[Update: 3 1/2 hours later. Really? Nobody has anything to say?]
Andrew Sullivan is fun when he’s brutal:
Clinton is a terrible manager of people. Coming into a campaign she had been planning for, what, two decades, she was so not ready on Day One, or even Day 300. Her White House, if we can glean anything from the campaign, would be a secretive nest of well-fed yes-people, an uncontrollable egomaniac spouse able and willing to bigfoot anyone if he wants to, a phalanx of flunkies who cannot tell the boss when things are wrong, and a drizzle of dreary hacks like Mark Penn. Her only genuine skill is pivoting off the Limbaugh machine (which is now as played out as its enemies)….
How did they come this close to losing this? They had all the money, all the contacts, all the machine levers, the entire establishment, the biggest Democratic name in decades, and they’ve been forced into a humiliating death-match by a first-term black liberal with a funny name. It seems obvious to me that the Clintons blew this because they never for a second imagined they could. So they never planned to fight it. Once put in a fair contest, they turned out to be terrible campaigners, terrible politicians, bad managers, useless executives, wooden public speakers. If you’re a Democrat, that’s good to know, isn’t it? All that bullshit about Day One and experience? In retrospect: laughable.